NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE NEOM
Points 82.6 66.4
Total Points   149.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.9 16.5
Points From Free Throws 15.8 15.8
Shooting DRKE NEOM
Field Goals Made 28.8 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 54.4
Field Goal % 50.9% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 59.2% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 15.8 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 21.1
Free Throw % 74.8% 75.0%
Ball Control DRKE NEOM
Rebounds 35.0 30.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 6.9
Turnovers 8.1 10.0
Blocked Shots 1.5 1.6
Steals 5.3 4.6
Fouls 16.1 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Neb Omaha

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE NEOM
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 67.4
% of Possessions with DRKE NEOM
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 24.0%
Player Fouled 22.9% 22.8%
Turnover 11.5% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE NEOM
Shot Blocked 3.0% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 19.8%