NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE LEH
Points 76.6 64.8
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.8 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 20.5
Points From Free Throws 12.1 12.2
Shooting YALE LEH
Field Goals Made 28.6 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 55.5
Field Goal % 50.4% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 12.1 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 16.7
Free Throw % 69.8% 72.8%
Ball Control YALE LEH
Rebounds 36.1 29.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.1 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 5.7
Turnovers 9.6 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.1
Steals 6.0 5.7
Fouls 14.3 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Yale

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE LEH
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 65.0
% of Possessions with YALE LEH
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 27.8%
Player Fouled 22.0% 20.5%
Turnover 13.7% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE LEH
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 16.4%