NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE UNI
Points 76.7 71.0
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 19.6
Points From Free Throws 14.1 15.5
Shooting DRKE UNI
Field Goals Made 27.0 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 54.0
Field Goal % 47.7% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 14.1 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 21.8
Free Throw % 74.8% 70.8%
Ball Control DRKE UNI
Rebounds 33.1 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 6.5
Turnovers 9.0 9.7
Blocked Shots 1.6 2.2
Steals 5.7 5.4
Fouls 16.4 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE UNI
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 67.4
% of Possessions with DRKE UNI
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 25.5%
Player Fouled 22.7% 23.2%
Turnover 12.8% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE UNI
Shot Blocked 4.0% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 19.5%