NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU PV
Points 70.2 66.3
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 10.1 12.2
Points From Free Throws 22.2 19.8
Shooting AAMU PV
Field Goals Made 22.3 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 46.4 54.8
Field Goal % 48.1% 38.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 41.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 41.3%
3 Pointers Made 3.4 4.1
3 Pointers Attempted 10.8 13.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 22.2 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 30.8 28.0
Free Throw % 72.3% 70.5%
Ball Control AAMU PV
Rebounds 38.5 28.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 18.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 10.0
Turnovers 18.5 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.9
Steals 6.6 10.7
Fouls 20.3 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU PV
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 71.9
% of Possessions with AAMU PV
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 12.5% 15.4%
Player Fouled 26.1% 27.3%
Turnover 24.8% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 14.4% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU PV
Shot Blocked 5.4% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 35.5% 26.2%