NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LT FIU
Points 78.5 63.5
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 27.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 25.0
Points From Free Throws 17.5 10.8
Shooting LT FIU
Field Goals Made 26.5 22.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 59.4
Field Goal % 47.8% 37.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 40.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 45.0% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 17.5 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 16.6
Free Throw % 70.3% 65.0%
Ball Control LT FIU
Rebounds 45.4 27.5
Rebounds - Defensive 31.4 19.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 8.6
Turnovers 14.4 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.2
Steals 6.4 8.7
Fouls 13.2 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Florida Intl

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LT FIU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 69.0
% of Possessions with LT FIU
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 30.1%
Player Fouled 22.7% 18.3%
Turnover 20.0% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LT FIU
Shot Blocked 7.3% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 42.5% 21.4%