NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY SPU
Points 68.3 64.7
Total Points   133.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 28.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 18.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 18.1
Shooting BRY SPU
Field Goals Made 23.3 20.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 61.5
Field Goal % 43.0% 33.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 42.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 33.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 15.4 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 25.4
Free Throw % 67.6% 71.2%
Ball Control BRY SPU
Rebounds 37.2 42.1
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 14.2
Turnovers 12.7 10.8
Blocked Shots 6.4 4.5
Steals 5.2 7.0
Fouls 15.9 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: St Peters

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY SPU
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 76.6
% of Possessions with BRY SPU
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 20.8%
Player Fouled 25.2% 21.8%
Turnover 17.3% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY SPU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 12.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 31.9%