NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GONZ PORT
Points 92.0 65.5
Total Points   157.5
Points From 2-Pointers 53.4 27.5
Points From 3-Pointers 28.6 28.0
Points From Free Throws 10.1 9.9
Shooting GONZ PORT
Field Goals Made 36.2 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 64.5 59.6
Field Goal % 56.2% 38.7%
2 Pointers Made 26.7 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 64.6% 42.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 27.1
3 Point Shooting % 41.2% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 10.1 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.7 14.0
Free Throw % 73.6% 70.9%
Ball Control GONZ PORT
Rebounds 39.9 28.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.2 20.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.1
Turnovers 6.3 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.0 1.3
Steals 5.9 2.9
Fouls 14.0 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +1.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GONZ PORT
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 67.8
% of Possessions with GONZ PORT
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 34.1%
Player Fouled 17.8% 20.0%
Turnover 9.1% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 4.1% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GONZ PORT
Shot Blocked 2.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 21.2%