NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUT HALL
Points 72.6 76.6
Total Points   149.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 45.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 19.5
Points From Free Throws 11.0 11.5
Shooting BUT HALL
Field Goals Made 26.2 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 63.9
Field Goal % 42.5% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 22.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 44.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 11.0 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 13.7 14.2
Free Throw % 80.1% 80.8%
Ball Control BUT HALL
Rebounds 32.4 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 11.5
Turnovers 11.0 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.8 5.4
Steals 6.1 8.0
Fouls 12.1 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Butler

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUT HALL
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 72.8
% of Possessions with BUT HALL
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 51.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 23.3%
Player Fouled 17.8% 16.8%
Turnover 15.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUT HALL
Shot Blocked 8.6% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 32.1%