NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST ECU
Points 64.7 72.8
Total Points   137.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 19.3
Points From Free Throws 13.2 18.9
Shooting SCST ECU
Field Goals Made 22.4 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 51.5
Field Goal % 39.2% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 13.2 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 27.6
Free Throw % 70.0% 68.6%
Ball Control SCST ECU
Rebounds 35.7 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 10.9
Turnovers 13.3 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.2
Steals 6.4 7.9
Fouls 17.8 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: E Carolina

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST ECU
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 68.7
% of Possessions with SCST ECU
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 24.7%
Player Fouled 19.8% 25.7%
Turnover 19.2% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST ECU
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 36.6% 33.3%