NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE PENN
Points 77.2 68.4
Total Points   145.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.2 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 27.2
Points From Free Throws 11.0 10.2
Shooting YALE PENN
Field Goals Made 28.8 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 57.2
Field Goal % 49.0% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 11.0 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 14.5
Free Throw % 69.8% 70.2%
Ball Control YALE PENN
Rebounds 35.4 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 7.4
Turnovers 7.3 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 1.8
Steals 4.9 4.4
Fouls 12.5 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: U Penn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE PENN
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 65.8
% of Possessions with YALE PENN
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 33.8%
Player Fouled 20.0% 18.5%
Turnover 10.8% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE PENN
Shot Blocked 3.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 21.3%