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Samford at Louisiana
Sat Dec 10, 2022
8:00pm ET
Lafayette, LA
Samford at Louisiana: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: UL Lafayette by 2.5, Total Points: 152
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SAM | adv | ULL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-14-0 | 16-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 9-11-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-0 | 9-10-0 |
Samford Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Purdue | +19.5 | L by 53 | -33.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | VCU | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mississippi College | -- | W by 44 | -- |
| 11/17 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 17 | -4.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Alabama St | -14.5 | W by 32 | +17.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Merrimack | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | NC A&T | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Louisiana | -3.5 | W by 23 | +19.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | La Grange | -- | W by 46 | -- |
| 12/11 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Belmont | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Valparaiso | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | TX Southern | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Chattanooga | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Citadel | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | VMI | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | W Carolina | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mercer | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Furman | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Tenn St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wofford | -11.5 | W by 2 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chattanooga | +1.5 | W by 22 | +23.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | VMI | -19.5 | W by 39 | +19.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | W Carolina | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mercer | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Furman | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Tenn St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Wofford | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Citadel | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Mercer | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Furman | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | E Tenn St | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
Louisiana Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Youngs St | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Toledo | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Louisiana College | -- | W by 51 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wright St | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Buffalo | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Loyola (LA) | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 11/30 | Away | Samford | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | LA Tech | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | E Kentucky | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | McNeese St | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Rice | +4.5 | W by 17 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Marshall | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Coastal Car | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Troy | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Arkansas St | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Texas St | +1.0 | W by 18 | +19.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | S Alabama | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | Arkansas St | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | Texas St | -8.5 | W by 20 | +11.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | UL Monroe | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Alabama | -7.5 | W by 20 | +12.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia St | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Bowling Grn | -7.5 | W by 26 | +18.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Old Dominion | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | App State | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | UL Monroe | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | S Mississippi | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Troy | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | S Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Coastal Car | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Arkansas St | +3.0 | L by 27 | -24.0 |
| ULL -2.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3157 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like UL Lafayette won the game 1828 times (57.9%).
- The team like Samford won the game 1329 times (42.1%).
- The team like UL Lafayette did better against the spread, going 1579-1527-51 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4238 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like UL Lafayette did better against the spread, going 2125-2028-85 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/10 07:55 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 07:22 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 05:04 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 03:18 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/10 01:37 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 12:24 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/10 11:44 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 09:47 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:56 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:58 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 05:49 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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