NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE L-IL
Points 73.0 71.3
Total Points   144.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 22.7
Points From Free Throws 17.1 13.0
Shooting DRKE L-IL
Field Goals Made 24.4 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 55.4
Field Goal % 43.2% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 17.1 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 19.3
Free Throw % 74.8% 67.6%
Ball Control DRKE L-IL
Rebounds 33.3 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 7.4
Turnovers 9.7 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.1
Steals 6.1 6.0
Fouls 15.7 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE L-IL
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 67.4
% of Possessions with DRKE L-IL
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 27.6%
Player Fouled 25.9% 21.8%
Turnover 13.4% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE L-IL
Shot Blocked 7.5% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 21.8%