NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UGA MISS
Points 74.6 77.4
Total Points   152.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 23.9
Points From Free Throws 14.9 13.0
Shooting UGA MISS
Field Goals Made 25.6 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 62.4
Field Goal % 42.8% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 17.8
Free Throw % 71.6% 73.0%
Ball Control UGA MISS
Rebounds 36.8 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 10.4
Turnovers 10.9 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.7
Steals 5.5 6.9
Fouls 13.3 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UGA MISS
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 73.5
% of Possessions with UGA MISS
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 26.1%
Player Fouled 20.3% 18.3%
Turnover 15.1% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UGA MISS
Shot Blocked 9.2% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 28.2%