NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY SFPA
Points 80.0 62.1
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 41.4 29.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 19.6
Points From Free Throws 14.4 12.8
Shooting BRY SFPA
Field Goals Made 28.8 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 62.9
Field Goal % 49.5% 34.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 35.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 14.4 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 21.3
Free Throw % 67.6% 60.1%
Ball Control BRY SFPA
Rebounds 39.9 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 32.2 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 13.1
Turnovers 10.8 11.9
Blocked Shots 7.8 3.4
Steals 5.8 6.0
Fouls 14.1 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Bryant

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY SFPA
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 75.1
% of Possessions with BRY SFPA
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 23.3%
Player Fouled 23.1% 19.1%
Turnover 14.6% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY SFPA
Shot Blocked 5.7% 13.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 29.0%