NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCA WEBB
Points 81.0 74.5
Total Points   155.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 19.4
Points From Free Throws 16.7 16.6
Shooting UNCA WEBB
Field Goals Made 28.5 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 58.2
Field Goal % 46.3% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 16.7 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 23.9
Free Throw % 72.1% 69.4%
Ball Control UNCA WEBB
Rebounds 33.8 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 13.1
Turnovers 8.3 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.7 2.2
Steals 7.2 3.9
Fouls 16.7 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: NC Asheville

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCA WEBB
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 73.3
% of Possessions with UNCA WEBB
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 21.4%
Player Fouled 22.6% 22.8%
Turnover 11.2% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCA WEBB
Shot Blocked 3.8% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 35.9%