NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCA WEBB
Points 80.3 66.4
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.5 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 20.9
Points From Free Throws 15.7 12.0
Shooting UNCA WEBB
Field Goals Made 28.6 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 56.8
Field Goal % 48.4% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 15.7 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 18.4
Free Throw % 67.7% 65.3%
Ball Control UNCA WEBB
Rebounds 40.9 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 8.1
Turnovers 9.4 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.0 1.9
Steals 5.5 5.0
Fouls 14.0 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Gardner-Webb

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCA WEBB
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.9 67.7
% of Possessions with UNCA WEBB
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 27.6%
Player Fouled 22.6% 19.8%
Turnover 13.3% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCA WEBB
Shot Blocked 3.4% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 35.8% 22.1%