NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUT OKLA
Points 73.4 76.4
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 22.2
Points From Free Throws 13.4 11.6
Shooting BUT OKLA
Field Goals Made 26.2 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 61.3
Field Goal % 44.6% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 13.4 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 15.7
Free Throw % 80.1% 73.5%
Ball Control BUT OKLA
Rebounds 32.0 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 9.7
Turnovers 9.9 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.3
Steals 5.8 6.1
Fouls 13.4 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUT OKLA
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 71.0
% of Possessions with BUT OKLA
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 26.8%
Player Fouled 19.5% 18.7%
Turnover 13.8% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUT OKLA
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 27.9%