NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCA SCUS
Points 76.2 67.6
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 22.4
Points From Free Throws 20.8 11.5
Shooting UNCA SCUS
Field Goals Made 24.3 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 57.9
Field Goal % 46.6% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 20.8 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 27.7 17.9
Free Throw % 75.0% 64.0%
Ball Control UNCA SCUS
Rebounds 38.1 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 8.3
Turnovers 11.5 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.5
Steals 5.2 6.4
Fouls 14.6 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: SC Upstate

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCA SCUS
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 68.5
% of Possessions with UNCA SCUS
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 28.5%
Player Fouled 26.7% 20.5%
Turnover 16.2% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCA SCUS
Shot Blocked 6.2% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 22.6%