NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE RICH
Points 71.4 70.4
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 21.0
Points From Free Throws 12.6 11.7
Shooting DRKE RICH
Field Goals Made 25.3 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 55.6
Field Goal % 43.1% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 12.6 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 16.3
Free Throw % 74.8% 71.6%
Ball Control DRKE RICH
Rebounds 35.7 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 4.4
Turnovers 8.6 9.0
Blocked Shots 1.3 2.3
Steals 4.5 5.2
Fouls 14.4 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE RICH
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 65.5
% of Possessions with DRKE RICH
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 26.0%
Player Fouled 19.1% 20.5%
Turnover 12.3% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE RICH
Shot Blocked 4.1% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 13.6%