NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE INST
Points 78.9 83.5
Total Points   162.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 30.9
Points From Free Throws 13.0 15.5
Shooting DRKE INST
Field Goals Made 28.9 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 56.1
Field Goal % 47.5% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 28.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 65.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 13.0 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 19.2
Free Throw % 74.8% 80.7%
Ball Control DRKE INST
Rebounds 30.1 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 5.5
Turnovers 8.3 11.1
Blocked Shots 1.7 1.4
Steals 5.9 4.7
Fouls 15.6 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE INST
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 67.8
% of Possessions with DRKE INST
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 35.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 35.0%
Player Fouled 21.0% 21.3%
Turnover 11.3% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE INST
Shot Blocked 2.5% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.3% 18.9%