NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE INST
Points 78.4 83.0
Total Points   161.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.0 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 30.7
Points From Free Throws 13.0 15.6
Shooting DRKE INST
Field Goals Made 28.8 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 55.9
Field Goal % 47.4% 51.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 28.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 65.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 13.0 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 19.3
Free Throw % 74.8% 80.7%
Ball Control DRKE INST
Rebounds 30.4 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 5.6
Turnovers 8.4 11.1
Blocked Shots 1.7 1.4
Steals 6.0 4.9
Fouls 15.5 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE INST
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 67.6
% of Possessions with DRKE INST
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 35.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 34.9%
Player Fouled 21.0% 21.1%
Turnover 11.5% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE INST
Shot Blocked 2.4% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.0% 18.9%