NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY
Points 74.5 60.1
Total Points   134.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.0 25.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 21.0
Points From Free Throws 12.8 13.3
Shooting BRY
Field Goals Made 27.4 19.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 62.6
Field Goal % 46.9% 31.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 12.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 30.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 40.8% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 12.8 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 19.3
Free Throw % 67.6% 68.9%
Ball Control BRY
Rebounds 40.1 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 32.6 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 12.7
Turnovers 12.0 12.4
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.2
Steals 5.6 7.2
Fouls 14.0 15.1

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 74.3
% of Possessions with BRY
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 23.0%
Player Fouled 20.4% 19.0%
Turnover 16.2% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY
Shot Blocked 7.0% 10.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 28.0%