NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST MEM
Points 66.9 83.0
Total Points   149.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 22.6
Points From Free Throws 13.2 22.7
Shooting SCST MEM
Field Goals Made 23.1 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 52.5
Field Goal % 36.8% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 39.1% 61.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 13.2 22.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 31.2
Free Throw % 70.0% 72.7%
Ball Control SCST MEM
Rebounds 35.7 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 19.5 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 16.2 11.5
Turnovers 14.9 14.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.7
Steals 7.2 8.6
Fouls 20.4 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: S Car State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST MEM
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 71.9
% of Possessions with SCST MEM
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 35.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 25.0%
Player Fouled 19.7% 27.4%
Turnover 20.1% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST MEM
Shot Blocked 9.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 38.2% 37.2%