NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU TNST
Points 66.5 70.0
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 9.4 18.5
Points From Free Throws 23.2 22.0
Shooting AAMU TNST
Field Goals Made 20.1 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 49.7 50.7
Field Goal % 40.4% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 3.1 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 11.5 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 27.5% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 23.2 22.0
Free Throws Attempted 32.0 28.9
Free Throw % 72.3% 76.1%
Ball Control AAMU TNST
Rebounds 34.4 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.2
Turnovers 14.4 14.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.4
Steals 7.8 7.8
Fouls 19.5 20.3

Playing Style Advantage: Alab A&M

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU TNST
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 68.7
% of Possessions with AAMU TNST
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 13.4% 22.0%
Player Fouled 27.7% 26.7%
Turnover 19.6% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU TNST
Shot Blocked 6.8% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 30.3%