NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE PRIN
Points 72.4 71.7
Total Points   144.1
Points From 2-Pointers 41.8 28.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 30.7
Points From Free Throws 9.7 12.5
Shooting YALE PRIN
Field Goals Made 27.8 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 55.6
Field Goal % 49.8% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 26.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.0% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 29.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 9.7 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 15.9
Free Throw % 69.8% 78.3%
Ball Control YALE PRIN
Rebounds 34.3 29.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 5.6
Turnovers 8.5 7.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.2
Steals 4.0 4.6
Fouls 14.7 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Princeton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE PRIN
Total Possessions 66.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 64.8
% of Possessions with YALE PRIN
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 40.0%
Player Fouled 19.5% 22.2%
Turnover 12.9% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE PRIN
Shot Blocked 2.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 17.0%