NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU JKST
Points 68.6 70.6
Total Points   139.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 13.3 19.6
Points From Free Throws 17.7 18.7
Shooting AAMU JKST
Field Goals Made 23.3 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.3 59.0
Field Goal % 43.6% 38.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 40.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.6 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 17.7 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 26.0
Free Throw % 72.3% 71.9%
Ball Control AAMU JKST
Rebounds 36.4 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 14.6
Turnovers 15.1 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.4
Steals 6.6 9.2
Fouls 16.9 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU JKST
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 75.6
% of Possessions with AAMU JKST
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 17.1% 21.5%
Player Fouled 22.0% 23.1%
Turnover 20.6% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 12.6% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU JKST
Shot Blocked 5.9% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 36.3%