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Miss State at Auburn
Sat Mar 6, 2021
1:00pm ET
Auburn, AL
Miss State at Auburn: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Auburn by 1.5, Total Points: 140.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | AUB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-17-1 | 21-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-11-1 | 14-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-8-1 | 10-6-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 11-8-0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
Auburn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | SE Louisiana | -23.5 | W by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 24 | +9.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Bonavent | -10.0 | W by 17 | +7.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Alab A&M | -33.5 | W by 30 | -3.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | App State | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Indiana | -7.5 | W by 28 | +20.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | NC-Asheville | -19.5 | W by 25 | +5.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | USC | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Alabama St | -30.5 | W by 20 | -10.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Chattanooga | -20.5 | W by 35 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | U Penn | -20.5 | W by 20 | -0.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Arkansas | -2.5 | W by 32 | +29.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Texas A&M | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | LSU | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Vanderbilt | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mississippi | -12.5 | W by 23 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Alabama | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miss State | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.5 | W by 27 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Mississippi | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida | -2.0 | L by 16 | -18.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | S Carolina | -11.5 | W by 40 | +28.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Kentucky | -8.5 | L by 11 | -19.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Georgia | -7.0 | W by 21 | +14.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Tennessee | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Miss State | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 27 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Georgia | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | S Carolina | -7.5 | W by 31 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Miss State | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Florida | -5.5 | W by 19 | +13.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Yale | -13.5 | L by 2 | -15.5 |
| AUB -1.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2443 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Auburn won the game 1392 times (57.0%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 1051 times (43.0%).
- The team like Auburn did better against the spread, going 1247-1157-39 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 496 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Auburn did better against the spread, going 257-236-3 (52.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | -1.0 | -1.5 |
| Open | -2.0 | -1.5 | -1.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/06 01:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 03/06 01:01 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 12:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 03/06 12:23 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 12:08 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 11:44 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 03/06 11:14 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 03/06 10:59 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 10:54 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 03/06 09:04 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 03/06 08:56 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 08:24 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 03/06 02:02 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 01:35 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 03/06 12:25 AM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 03/05 11:26 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 08:17 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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