NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE AUB
Points 62.0 79.6
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 16.2 24.4
Points From Free Throws 15.6 16.1
Shooting YALE AUB
Field Goals Made 20.5 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 57.4
Field Goal % 35.4% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 37.4% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 15.6 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 21.5
Free Throw % 69.8% 74.8%
Ball Control YALE AUB
Rebounds 33.9 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 8.9
Turnovers 10.2 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.4 6.9
Steals 5.5 6.0
Fouls 16.1 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Auburn

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE AUB
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 70.4
% of Possessions with YALE AUB
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 27.4%
Player Fouled 23.8% 22.8%
Turnover 14.5% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE AUB
Shot Blocked 12.1% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 27.2%