NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU TXSO
Points 65.5 70.0
Total Points   135.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 10.7 21.4
Points From Free Throws 20.5 17.9
Shooting AAMU TXSO
Field Goals Made 20.7 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 58.0
Field Goal % 40.0% 38.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 43.2%
3 Pointers Made 3.6 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 13.6 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 26.3% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 20.5 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 28.4 24.3
Free Throw % 72.3% 73.6%
Ball Control AAMU TXSO
Rebounds 37.5 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 12.3
Turnovers 14.3 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.5
Steals 6.1 8.3
Fouls 17.3 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Alab A&M

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU TXSO
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 73.4
% of Possessions with AAMU TXSO
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 15.9% 25.9%
Player Fouled 25.2% 23.7%
Turnover 19.5% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU TXSO
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 31.4%