NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UGA AUB
Points 66.4 83.8
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 28.3 44.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 24.5
Points From Free Throws 19.0 15.2
Shooting UGA AUB
Field Goals Made 20.5 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 62.3
Field Goal % 35.5% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 37.9% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 19.0 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 20.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 74.8%
Ball Control UGA AUB
Rebounds 34.6 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.5
Turnovers 11.3 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.5 6.6
Steals 5.9 6.5
Fouls 15.0 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UGA AUB
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 74.8
% of Possessions with UGA AUB
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 26.8%
Player Fouled 23.8% 20.3%
Turnover 15.3% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UGA AUB
Shot Blocked 10.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 30.1%