NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU JKST
Points 79.2 74.9
Total Points   154.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 29.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 27.5
Points From Free Throws 21.6 18.0
Shooting AAMU JKST
Field Goals Made 25.0 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 56.7
Field Goal % 46.2% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 21.6 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 28.8 23.6
Free Throw % 75.1% 76.1%
Ball Control AAMU JKST
Rebounds 35.5 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 10.0
Turnovers 9.4 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.5
Steals 5.5 4.6
Fouls 16.9 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU JKST
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 71.2
% of Possessions with AAMU JKST
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 29.2%
Player Fouled 25.1% 23.7%
Turnover 13.2% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU JKST
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 28.0%