NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU JKST
Points 68.0 75.6
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.3 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 19.1
Points From Free Throws 14.9 21.7
Shooting AAMU JKST
Field Goals Made 22.4 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 53.8
Field Goal % 36.7% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.1% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 14.9 21.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 29.8
Free Throw % 67.1% 72.9%
Ball Control AAMU JKST
Rebounds 37.1 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 11.4
Turnovers 13.6 14.6
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.7
Steals 7.6 7.9
Fouls 18.9 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Alabama A&M

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU JKST
Total Possessions 75.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.0 72.4
% of Possessions with AAMU JKST
2 Point Attempt 37.1% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 19.6%
Player Fouled 20.7% 25.0%
Turnover 18.0% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU JKST
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 32.6% 33.0%