NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE KSU
Points 73.5 71.9
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 20.0
Points From Free Throws 16.9 16.1
Shooting DRKE KSU
Field Goals Made 24.7 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 53.9
Field Goal % 41.5% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 16.9 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 22.4
Free Throw % 74.8% 71.9%
Ball Control DRKE KSU
Rebounds 32.9 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.0
Turnovers 8.5 13.2
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.2
Steals 7.1 4.6
Fouls 16.7 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE KSU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 68.3
% of Possessions with DRKE KSU
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 25.5%
Player Fouled 22.7% 23.0%
Turnover 11.7% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE KSU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 27.1%