NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY UNH
Points 79.7 70.6
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 44.5 29.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 26.1
Points From Free Throws 11.4 15.4
Shooting BRY UNH
Field Goals Made 30.2 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 63.5 65.2
Field Goal % 47.5% 35.6%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 59.4% 39.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 11.4 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 20.3
Free Throw % 67.6% 76.0%
Ball Control BRY UNH
Rebounds 41.6 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 9.1
Turnovers 11.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 7.2 1.7
Steals 6.9 7.3
Fouls 14.7 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Bryant

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY UNH
Total Possessions 78.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 76.2
% of Possessions with BRY UNH
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 31.4%
Player Fouled 17.8% 18.7%
Turnover 14.7% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY UNH
Shot Blocked 2.7% 11.4%
Offensive Rebound 18.9% 20.7%