NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUFF DEP
Points 71.5 74.2
Total Points   145.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 21.0
Points From Free Throws 9.5 14.4
Shooting BUFF DEP
Field Goals Made 26.8 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 57.8
Field Goal % 44.2% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 9.5 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 19.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 73.8%
Ball Control BUFF DEP
Rebounds 34.1 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 8.6
Turnovers 11.1 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.6 2.7
Steals 6.4 5.9
Fouls 14.6 10.9

Playing Style Advantage: Buffalo

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUFF DEP
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 69.1
% of Possessions with BUFF DEP
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 23.4%
Player Fouled 15.3% 20.5%
Turnover 15.6% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUFF DEP
Shot Blocked 4.8% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 25.5%