NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUFF DEP
Points 70.0 75.0
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 46.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 15.3
Points From Free Throws 13.3 13.5
Shooting BUFF DEP
Field Goals Made 24.5 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 64.3 63.8
Field Goal % 38.1% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 46.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 27.6% 29.9%
Free Throws Made 13.3 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 21.3
Free Throw % 67.5% 63.4%
Ball Control BUFF DEP
Rebounds 41.3 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 12.3
Turnovers 15.6 13.8
Blocked Shots 4.8 6.4
Steals 8.5 8.4
Fouls 16.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUFF DEP
Total Possessions 78.5
Effective Scoring Chances 76.8 77.0
% of Possessions with BUFF DEP
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 18.4%
Player Fouled 20.4% 20.8%
Turnover 19.8% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUFF DEP
Shot Blocked 10.2% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 30.9%