NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUFF OHIO
Points 65.9 81.2
Total Points   147.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 28.4
Points From Free Throws 11.7 14.3
Shooting BUFF OHIO
Field Goals Made 23.8 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 63.4
Field Goal % 41.2% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 11.7 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 19.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 74.1%
Ball Control BUFF OHIO
Rebounds 36.1 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.8
Turnovers 13.7 8.2
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.5
Steals 4.6 7.1
Fouls 13.9 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Buffalo

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUFF OHIO
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 74.5
% of Possessions with BUFF OHIO
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 30.2%
Player Fouled 17.3% 19.3%
Turnover 19.0% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUFF OHIO
Shot Blocked 5.7% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 29.1%