NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUFF SBON
Points 61.6 81.6
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 24.7
Points From Free Throws 10.8 14.5
Shooting BUFF SBON
Field Goals Made 22.1 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 61.2
Field Goal % 39.7% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 10.8 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 18.7
Free Throw % 71.6% 77.3%
Ball Control BUFF SBON
Rebounds 30.8 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 11.2
Turnovers 13.3 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.9
Steals 4.2 7.1
Fouls 12.9 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUFF SBON
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 72.6
% of Possessions with BUFF SBON
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 25.8%
Player Fouled 18.0% 18.4%
Turnover 19.0% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUFF SBON
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 33.1%