NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USF HOU
Points 59.3 77.6
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 20.3 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 24.2
Points From Free Throws 16.8 14.6
Shooting USF HOU
Field Goals Made 17.5 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 49.3 62.8
Field Goal % 35.6% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 10.2 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 26.2 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 38.7% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 16.8 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 20.3
Free Throw % 72.6% 71.9%
Ball Control USF HOU
Rebounds 31.6 41.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 15.2
Turnovers 13.1 7.4
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.9
Steals 4.2 8.1
Fouls 14.2 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: S Florida

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USF HOU
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 63.1 75.7
% of Possessions with USF HOU
2 Point Attempt 33.5% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 27.8%
Player Fouled 25.7% 20.9%
Turnover 19.3% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken USF HOU
Shot Blocked 7.9% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 39.4%