NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USF HOU
Points 58.8 76.4
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 20.3 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 23.2
Points From Free Throws 16.4 14.5
Shooting USF HOU
Field Goals Made 17.5 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 49.4 62.2
Field Goal % 35.5% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 10.2 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 26.4 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 38.5% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 16.4 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 20.4
Free Throw % 72.6% 71.1%
Ball Control USF HOU
Rebounds 31.6 41.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 15.1
Turnovers 13.1 7.5
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.8
Steals 4.2 7.9
Fouls 14.1 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: S Florida

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USF HOU
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 62.9 75.3
% of Possessions with USF HOU
2 Point Attempt 33.9% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 27.1%
Player Fouled 25.4% 20.9%
Turnover 19.3% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken USF HOU
Shot Blocked 7.8% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 39.2%