NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USF BC
Points 71.4 73.6
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 27.4 24.3
Points From Free Throws 13.6 12.4
Shooting USF BC
Field Goals Made 24.3 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 59.2
Field Goal % 42.3% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 13.6 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 16.6
Free Throw % 72.6% 74.4%
Ball Control USF BC
Rebounds 33.8 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.5
Turnovers 9.1 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.0
Steals 5.8 5.0
Fouls 14.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: S Florida

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USF BC
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 69.4
% of Possessions with USF BC
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 28.4%
Player Fouled 22.2% 20.2%
Turnover 13.1% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken USF BC
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 27.3%