NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUFF KENT
Points 66.4 78.5
Total Points   144.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 26.6
Points From Free Throws 11.3 13.7
Shooting BUFF KENT
Field Goals Made 24.2 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 63.8
Field Goal % 42.6% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 11.3 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 18.8
Free Throw % 71.6% 73.1%
Ball Control BUFF KENT
Rebounds 34.0 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 13.1
Turnovers 13.3 9.2
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.6
Steals 5.1 6.8
Fouls 13.8 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Kent St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUFF KENT
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 75.3
% of Possessions with BUFF KENT
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 27.5%
Player Fouled 18.7% 19.4%
Turnover 18.6% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUFF KENT
Shot Blocked 4.2% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 34.1%