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Buffalo at W Kentucky
Wed Dec 8, 2021
8:00pm ET
Bowling Green, KY
Buffalo at W Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Western Kentucky by 2.5, Total Points: 154
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BUFF | adv | WKU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-18-0 | 19-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-11-0 | 13-6-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-11-0 | 7-4-0 | |
| Away | 9-7-0 | 12-8-0 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | F Dickinson | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 14 | -13.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Roberts Wesleyan | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Hofstra | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Louisiana | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Iona | +6.5 | L by 25 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | James Mad | +23.5 | L by 15 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | St Bonavent | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Butler | +24.5 | L by 13 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | W Kentucky | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Richmond | +15.5 | L by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Niagara | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Central Mich | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Michigan | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Akron | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Toledo | +15.0 | L by 11 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ball St | +1.5 | L by 28 | -26.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Michigan | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Kent St | +8.0 | L by 31 | -23.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Bowling Grn | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | GA Southern | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Akron | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | E Michigan | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | W Michigan | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Kent St | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Toledo | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Ohio | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | N Illinois | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
W Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Kentucky Wesleyan | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Wichita St | +7.5 | L by 10 | -2.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Murray St | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Kentucky State | -- | W by 20 | -- |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Canisius | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | NC-Asheville | -6.0 | L by 10 | -16.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Campbellsville | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/03 | Home | E Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Buffalo | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Wright St | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Austin Peay | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Cal Baptist | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Abl Christian | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Liberty | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Sam Hous St | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Jksnville St | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | N Mex State | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX El Paso | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Florida Intl | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.5 | W by 23 | +16.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | LA Tech | +10.0 | W by 5 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Jksnville St | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | TX El Paso | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | N Mex State | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Middle Tenn | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | LA Tech | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Florida Intl | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Liberty | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | N Mex State | -6.5 | W by 20 | +13.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Middle Tenn | -6.0 | W by 31 | +25.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Marquette | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| WKU -2.5 | Open | +2.5 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | +1.0 | Low | +3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2976 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Kentucky won the game 1732 times (58.2%).
- The team like Buffalo won the game 1244 times (41.8%).
- The team like Western Kentucky did better against the spread, going 1494-1433-49 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 21 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 12-9 (57.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 5.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -3.0 | +1.0 |
| Open | +3.5 | +3.5 | +3.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/08 08:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/08 07:52 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:49 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:22 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:41 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 05:26 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 04:26 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 03:38 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 02:41 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:34 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 12/08 12:25 PM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 12/08 12:24 PM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 12/08 12:23 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:07 AM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:05 AM | -- | -- | +1.5 |
| 12/08 10:04 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 12/08 09:59 AM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:35 AM | -- | -- | +3.0 |
| 12/08 08:24 AM | -- | +3.5 | -- |
| 12/08 08:01 AM | +3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:44 AM | -- | +3.5 | -- |
| 12/08 07:35 AM | -- | -- | +3.0 |
| 12/08 06:01 AM | -- | +3.5 | -- |
| 12/08 05:56 AM | +3.5 | -- | +3.5 |
| 12/07 05:54 PM | -- | +3.5 | -- |
| 12/07 05:44 PM | +3.5 | -- | -- |
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