NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USF TEM
Points 74.9 66.8
Total Points   141.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 22.6
Points From Free Throws 17.1 14.4
Shooting USF TEM
Field Goals Made 24.7 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 59.0
Field Goal % 44.8% 38.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 30.7 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 43.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 17.1 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 20.5
Free Throw % 72.6% 70.1%
Ball Control USF TEM
Rebounds 38.3 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.8 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 10.1
Turnovers 9.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.4
Steals 5.5 6.0
Fouls 14.6 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Temple

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USF TEM
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 71.4
% of Possessions with USF TEM
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 29.8%
Player Fouled 23.5% 20.7%
Turnover 13.9% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken USF TEM
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 25.3%