NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USF WICH
Points 74.4 68.7
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 16.9
Points From Free Throws 14.1 11.9
Shooting USF WICH
Field Goals Made 25.7 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 59.9
Field Goal % 42.3% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 14.1 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 17.1
Free Throw % 72.6% 69.7%
Ball Control USF WICH
Rebounds 35.7 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.9
Turnovers 8.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.2
Steals 7.3 5.3
Fouls 12.9 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: S Florida

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USF WICH
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 70.6
% of Possessions with USF WICH
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 21.5%
Player Fouled 20.8% 18.1%
Turnover 12.1% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken USF WICH
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 29.6%