NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUFF AKR
Points 63.0 77.2
Total Points   140.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 23.6
Points From Free Throws 10.0 13.7
Shooting BUFF AKR
Field Goals Made 23.6 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 60.5
Field Goal % 40.7% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 25.5% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 10.0 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 18.8
Free Throw % 71.6% 72.9%
Ball Control BUFF AKR
Rebounds 32.7 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 10.7
Turnovers 11.6 9.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.0
Steals 4.9 5.4
Fouls 14.3 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Buffalo

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUFF AKR
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 71.9
% of Possessions with BUFF AKR
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 28.7%
Player Fouled 18.7% 20.4%
Turnover 16.5% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUFF AKR
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 30.3%