NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STAN COLO
Points 75.4 82.7
Total Points   158.1
Points From 2-Pointers 41.6 45.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 24.1
Points From Free Throws 10.7 12.8
Shooting STAN COLO
Field Goals Made 28.5 30.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 60.5
Field Goal % 48.0% 51.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 41.5%
Free Throws Made 10.7 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 16.9
Free Throw % 73.9% 76.0%
Ball Control STAN COLO
Rebounds 29.3 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 8.5
Turnovers 10.9 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.7
Steals 5.6 6.3
Fouls 14.0 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STAN COLO
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 70.7
% of Possessions with STAN COLO
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 23.4%
Player Fouled 17.9% 19.1%
Turnover 14.9% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken STAN COLO
Shot Blocked 2.9% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 18.5% 26.9%