NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STAN WSU
Points 67.9 75.3
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 42.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 21.9
Points From Free Throws 12.2 11.1
Shooting STAN WSU
Field Goals Made 24.5 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 61.8
Field Goal % 43.3% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 41.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 12.2 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 15.7
Free Throw % 73.9% 71.0%
Ball Control STAN WSU
Rebounds 31.6 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 10.3
Turnovers 10.8 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.6
Steals 4.5 5.3
Fouls 13.2 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STAN WSU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 71.7
% of Possessions with STAN WSU
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 24.6%
Player Fouled 20.5% 18.6%
Turnover 15.2% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken STAN WSU
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 17.7% 28.8%