NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STAN WSU
Points 67.1 65.7
Total Points   132.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 13.8 24.7
Points From Free Throws 14.9 12.3
Shooting STAN WSU
Field Goals Made 23.8 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 57.5
Field Goal % 44.5% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 43.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 14.9 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 14.9 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 16.8
Free Throw % 70.5% 73.0%
Ball Control STAN WSU
Rebounds 33.4 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 10.7
Turnovers 13.8 15.0
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.9
Steals 7.2 6.5
Fouls 15.4 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STAN WSU
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 68.7
% of Possessions with STAN WSU
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 39.0%
3 Point Attempt 18.3% 28.6%
Player Fouled 24.4% 21.1%
Turnover 18.8% 20.6%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken STAN WSU
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 28.8%