NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STAN WSU
Points 71.7 63.6
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 42.2 31.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 18.9
Points From Free Throws 12.1 13.2
Shooting STAN WSU
Field Goals Made 26.9 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.8 57.8
Field Goal % 50.9% 38.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 58.7% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 27.7%
Free Throws Made 12.1 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 18.4
Free Throw % 71.4% 72.0%
Ball Control STAN WSU
Rebounds 33.8 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 5.3 9.9
Turnovers 14.9 13.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.5
Steals 5.7 6.4
Fouls 15.3 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STAN WSU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 62.9 69.2
% of Possessions with STAN WSU
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 27.1%
Player Fouled 22.7% 21.1%
Turnover 20.6% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken STAN WSU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 18.7% 25.7%