NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STAN ALA
Points 79.6 93.9
Total Points   173.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 39.2
Points From Free Throws 16.2 14.4
Shooting STAN ALA
Field Goals Made 27.8 33.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 68.0
Field Goal % 46.0% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 58.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 16.2 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 18.8
Free Throw % 73.9% 76.5%
Ball Control STAN ALA
Rebounds 33.5 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 11.4
Turnovers 12.3 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.5
Steals 5.6 7.2
Fouls 15.1 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Alabama

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STAN ALA
Total Possessions 78.0
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 79.5
% of Possessions with STAN ALA
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 37.3%
Player Fouled 22.2% 19.3%
Turnover 15.8% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken STAN ALA
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 30.7%