NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STAN CAL
Points 78.7 77.7
Total Points   156.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 30.2
Points From Free Throws 13.4 11.3
Shooting STAN CAL
Field Goals Made 28.2 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 65.9
Field Goal % 47.0% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 13.4 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 15.5
Free Throw % 73.9% 73.2%
Ball Control STAN CAL
Rebounds 37.1 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 30.0 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 9.8
Turnovers 10.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.2
Steals 4.5 6.2
Fouls 12.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STAN CAL
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 75.3
% of Possessions with STAN CAL
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 33.1%
Player Fouled 20.0% 17.0%
Turnover 14.6% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken STAN CAL
Shot Blocked 3.4% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 24.6%