NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STAN WASH
Points 79.5 83.0
Total Points   162.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 43.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 27.8
Points From Free Throws 13.7 12.0
Shooting STAN WASH
Field Goals Made 28.6 30.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 64.2
Field Goal % 46.6% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 13.7 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 16.7
Free Throw % 73.9% 71.5%
Ball Control STAN WASH
Rebounds 35.7 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 8.0
Turnovers 11.6 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.8
Steals 5.1 6.0
Fouls 14.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STAN WASH
Total Possessions 76.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 74.2
% of Possessions with STAN WASH
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 28.6%
Player Fouled 20.4% 19.1%
Turnover 15.2% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken STAN WASH
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 22.3%