NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STAN ASU
Points 74.5 71.9
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 23.2
Points From Free Throws 13.1 10.8
Shooting STAN ASU
Field Goals Made 26.3 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 62.4
Field Goal % 46.4% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 13.1 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 16.6
Free Throw % 73.9% 65.3%
Ball Control STAN ASU
Rebounds 38.8 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.6 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 7.4
Turnovers 14.0 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.0
Steals 4.6 8.4
Fouls 13.4 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STAN ASU
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 72.4
% of Possessions with STAN ASU
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 29.6%
Player Fouled 20.1% 18.1%
Turnover 18.8% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken STAN ASU
Shot Blocked 4.8% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 18.9%