NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STAN USC
Points 73.9 78.5
Total Points   152.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 29.3 26.6
Points From Free Throws 12.7 11.4
Shooting STAN USC
Field Goals Made 25.7 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 62.3
Field Goal % 44.3% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 12.7 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 16.4
Free Throw % 73.9% 69.5%
Ball Control STAN USC
Rebounds 34.6 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 9.1
Turnovers 13.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.0
Steals 5.4 8.0
Fouls 13.4 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STAN USC
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 72.5
% of Possessions with STAN USC
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 27.7%
Player Fouled 19.8% 18.1%
Turnover 18.4% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken STAN USC
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 25.2%